Visar inlägg med etikett Warren Buffet. Visa alla inlägg
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onsdag 9 november 2016

My Current Plan, 2016 November


This month, it seems like the media around the globe has gone nuts regarding the US presidential election. Here in Sweden, it is actually hard to find local news.
Prior to the election day, media spun up a scenario where the markets would plummet if Trump won. Quite the doomsday prophesies, a lot of backstory where everybody seemed to agree that Clinton would win.

And this morning, 15 minutes before the Nasdaq OMX Stockholm market opened, it was clear that Trump was elected the 45th president of the United States, The headlines were:'Shock! Markets will plummet!", and at 0900 the markets opened and it was basically business as usual. As always the analysts seem to read a negative 1% as something huge and try to make it into something that it is not.
Now, 10 hours later the headlines are:
Looks dark for Swedish companies
- Svenska Dagbladet
Aptite is back on Wall Street
- Dagens Industri
Some optimistic, some are still pessimistic and some news outlets focus on the recent snow clouds in Stockholm.

What amazes me is how much the media can spin the stories. Are people actually surprised and shocked? Or is it just the media that expects people to be shocked? It seems like the market learned from the brexit vote, but the media didn't.
Once again it seems that the modern day journalism leaves a lot to wish for.

So how does all this affect my investment plan?

Not at all.
To quote Warren Buffet:
Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy; profit from folly rather than participate in it.
- Warren Buffet
Meaning that I bought this months ratio of shares in my favorite bank earlier this week. Swedish banks are rising after a year of red.. But I don't really care as I have my plan. And it contains a lot of buy and very little sell over a very long time period.
If the markets react negatively to for some reason, Trump or other, I have the possibility to act on that disaster opportunity by using some of our ordinary savings account. But for the time being, nothing like that is planned.

So sticking to the plan

Hope this gives some motivation to other people starting out in building their own future :)

Disclaimer. I am in no way an expert on capital management or investing. On this blog I only wish to share my findings, ideas and comments on current events and fields that interest me. I hope that my thoughts can entertain you. I expect that everyone reading take their time and do their own research before acting on anything read on this blog. Investing is not for everyone. E&OE.

fredag 14 oktober 2016

My Current Plan, 2016 October


As I've hinted in previous posts, I don't follow the diversified investing strategy or invest in index funds myself. I still think that that is the best risk averse way to invest, perfect for your retirement plan or when you are saving for your kids and most of all when you do not want to put any real time into it.

That being said... I have too much time..

So, after reading a lot on the subject. Going through Graham, Buffet and numerous books that I don't remember the names of, that could be the subject of another post I devised my own strategy.
So lets go through the overall ideas that influenced me to form my own plan.

There is no one way to wealth, everyone do it in their own way

Some preach diversification, others are into value investing and then again others only want dividend payers. Buy only companies that are cheaper than the money they have in the bank, or buy into big well proven companies that are stable. Buy and hold or Buy and sell?
So there is no single path to riches.

There is no such thing as market timing.

At least not in the long run and I am in it for the long run.
This seems to be the least common denominator that everyone agrees on. Everyone meaning the authors and investors that have a horizon of a decade or five.
Graham didn't have to time the market as he basically bought the whole basket and then micromanaged that portfolio to see when things were ripe for harvest. Others buy at a nice price (not always the best) and hold the investment for a long period and see it grown.

What I look for

Management
Do I trust the management to drive the company forward into a money maker for me?

Dividend payout
I.e. a cash flow that can be re-invested. And when time comes, a cash flow that can substitute a full time job or 2. Best deal if it has a long term increased dividend strategy.

I can figure out how they make money
This is key. I don't want buy into a company if it is in a field that I don't know about. If it is unclear how the money gets created, then it is a no.

A Great Company
I don't want to go through the endless waves of small unknown companies that may become the next [insert any skyrocketing company here from your local financial news]. I want a boring old money maker with a well recognized brand that is out there and has 'always' been. Think Coca-cola.

Does not ask shareholders for a cash-in from time to time
Another no way. Steady long term business that is able to finance itself and pay a dividend.

Not my employer
I like my employer, I like working for them. But, a big but if.. If they go out of business and I loose my job, I don't want to loose my investment at the same time. Or the other way around. Just think about it. You see your investment go into ruins and the next day you get fired. Not an ideal situation. I don't buy my employer.

Is  better than the ones I already have?
If the proposed return of investment isn't better then from worst company I already own, then I might just as well buy more of the ones I know of.

When to I plan to sell

Never :)
But honestly, no.. I do not have an exit plan. I do have an emergency plan for when the

Management turns sour
As time goes by, the management team of a company change their members or the bigger shareholders want a change and it may turn out to be in a direction that I am not comfortable with. When trust is lost, that's when I might sell. Emergency plan, not an exit.

Until that happens, the market may do whatever it likes. If I trust my companies, then I'll hold on to them. Preferably for me would be if the market thinks the worst, as it just gives me an opportunity to buy more shares at a cheaper price.

So. That was a summary of the strategy that I follow. Currently holding 2 companies and buying more of them every month. Until something better comes up, I'll stick to those two.

Hope this gives some ideas to other people starting out in building their own future :)

Disclaimer. I am in no way an expert on capital management or investing. On this blog I only wish to share my findings, ideas and comments on current events and fields that interest me. I hope that my thoughts can entertain you. I expect that everyone reading take their time and do their own research before acting on anything read on this blog. Investing is not for everyone. E&OE.

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